GPUValuation.com Methodology M-2026.10-r2 · Clean-IP Live Feed
Collector: FAILED (Feed: FAILED_NO_VALID_DATA) · Run #24 · 208 unique obs (649 polls) · Sync: 2026-10-30T06:30:09Z
Commercial B2B Scope & Data Provenance: Parametric infrastructure TCO, power & depreciation scenario model (M-2026.10-r2) strictly separating LIVE MARKET DATA (ECB FX, Eurostat X_VAT power, Fraunhofer spot, Azure/AWS retail rate cards) from STATIC REFERENCE ASSUMPTIONS (non-appraisal, non-IFRS-13 certification).

Quantitative Valuation, TCO & Collateral Methodology (M-2026.10-r2)

Published UTC: 2026-10-26T02:00:00Z · Executed Server Comp Threshold: n ≥ 5 (Freshness ≤ 60 days)

Open Interactive Workbench

1. Strict 5-Band Valuation Taxonomy & SpotWire Component Boundary

M-2026.10-r2 enforces strict evidentiary boundaries across every hardware profile:

  • New OEM / Channel Reference (0m): Published integrator or AI Hardware Index asking median for 0-month server BOM.
  • Secondary Refurbished Asking (T3): Unexecuted secondary dealer offer band (explicitly non-transactional).
  • Executed / Comp Secondary FMV (T1): Requires n ≥ 5 invoice-verified 8-GPU/4-GPU server-cluster transactions executed within the last 60 days. Single-card component eBay datasets (e.g., SpotWire gpu_ebay, separated by data_backed / thin / estimated coverage and quarantined when >60d old) are exposed solely as diagnostic component cross-checks and never promoted to server-cluster FMV.
  • Credit Borrowing-Base Halt vs. Hypothetical T4 Model: Currently 0 of 8 hardware profiles in SQLite hold ≥5 fresh (≤60d) executed server-cluster comps; consequently, Credit-Eligible Borrowing Base OLV and Senior Loan Principal are strictly €0 / INELIGIBLE across all profiles until verified ITAD comps are ingested. Parametric T4 decay figures are isolated in a separate non-credit simulation panel.
  • LIVE MARKET DATA vs. STATIC REFERENCE ASSUMPTIONS: Every response exposes data_provenance_split separating live ingested feeds (ECB FX, Eurostat X_VAT power, Fraunhofer spot, Azure/AWS retail rate cards) from static parameters in methodology_v1.json (including neocloud_ref_secure_usd_gpu_h, tagged T4_STATIC_MODEL_ASSUMPTION—never a live GPU rental index).

2. Data Center Load Physics & Eurostat tax=X_VAT Industrial Power

Enterprise AI clusters draw significant baseline power at idle and pay regulated industrial grid tariffs rather than raw wholesale spot:

P_facility(kW) = N_nodes × P_IT_max × (0.35 + 0.65 × Utilization) × PUE
  • 35% Base Idle Draw: Accounts for dual-socket host CPUs, 2 TB DDR5 RAM, NVSwitch fabric, BMC/cooling, and PSU losses prior to dynamic tensor load.
  • Eurostat nrg_pc_205 with tax=X_VAT: European siting calculations ingest Band IF (70,000–149,999 MWh/yr, ~8–17 MW facility) using official Eurostat tax code X_VAT (Excluding VAT and other recoverable taxes and levies, while retaining non-recoverable industrial network charges and levies). Earlier I_TAX values (which include recoverable VAT) are purged.
  • Wholesale Spot Volatility Spread: Fraunhofer ISE Energy-Charts day-ahead spot is displayed strictly to quantify grid/levy spreads—never substituted as the full colocation bill.

3. Contract Existence vs. Verified Contractual Cashflows (DSCR Gate)

Credit committee metrics prevent unverified form inputs from masquerading as investment-grade contracted cashflows:

  • 4-State Contract & Cashflow Separation: Unverified form inputs are labeled USER_DECLARED_CONTRACT_SCENARIO. Even when a verified_contracts row confirms contract existence (AUDITOR_VERIFIED_CONTRACT_EXISTENCE), if no audited contractual contracted_rate_usd_gpu_h is stored, DSCR is classified as SIMULATED_DSCR_UNVERIFIED_CONTRACT_RATE and blocked from credit-eligible DSCR. Only contracts with both verified existence AND an audited $/GPU-h rate achieve AUDITOR_VERIFIED_CONTRACT_AND_RATE (using the exact contractual rate rather than a static -15% assumption).
  • 12–60 Month Mathematical Parity: Python JSON responses, Monthly_Schedule live-formula Excel workbooks (dynamically generating 12 to 60 monthly rows), and Executive PDF briefs share identical full-precision unrounded base inputs, guaranteeing <0.01 rounding parity across all horizons and currencies.

4. Accounting, Appraisal & GeForce EULA Exclusions

  • Not USPAP / ASA / IFRS 13 Certification: Outputs do not replace physical serial-number inspection, burn-in telemetry verification, or a signed appraisal by an Accredited Senior Appraiser (ASA).
  • GeForce EULA Borrowing-Base Block: Consumer GeForce SKUs (RTX 5090) are hard-coded as INELIGIBLE_EULA_RESTRICTED (€0 eligible loan and €0 commercial data-center debt simulation) due to NVIDIA GeForce Software EULA restrictions on commercial data center deployment.

Enforced Source Licensing & Clean-IP Governance Ledger

Collector daemon refuses ingestion of any source not marked APPROVED_COMMERCIAL
Live source_governance table from triad_observations.sqlite3
Source ID License Status Attribution & Legal Enforcement Rule
azure_retail_api Official-Public-Retail-API APPROVED_COMMERCIAL Microsoft Azure Official Retail Prices API: First-party published cloud retail rate cards permitted for TCO comparison & FinOps analytics. (Source: Microsoft Azure Public Retail Prices API (unauthenticated OData rate card).)
ecb_eurofxref EU-Public-Reuse APPROVED_COMMERCIAL European Central Bank Reference FX: Free official reuse with source attribution per ECB statistics reuse policy. (Source: European Central Bank (ECB) Euro foreign exchange reference rates.)
eurostat_nrg_pc_205 CC-BY-4.0 APPROVED_COMMERCIAL Eurostat Industrial Electricity Prices (Band IF: 70-150 GWh/yr, tax=X_VAT): Uses Eurostat tax=X_VAT (Excluding VAT and other recoverable taxes and levies; includes network fees and non-recoverable industrial levies) for 8-17 MW DC load. (Source: Eurostat (nrg_pc_205, tax=X_VAT), European Commission, licensed under CC BY 4.0.)
fraunhofer_energy_charts CC-BY-4.0 APPROVED_COMMERCIAL Fraunhofer ISE Energy-Charts Day-Ahead Wholesale Spot: Used strictly to quantify wholesale volatility vs Eurostat X_VAT industrial tariff; never presented alone as full DC bill. (Source: Fraunhofer ISE Energy-Charts API (api.energy-charts.info), licensed under CC BY 4.0.)
spotwire_cc_by_4 CC-BY-4.0 APPROVED_COMMERCIAL SpotWire Open GPU Component Cross-Check Dataset: Separates data_backed single-card gpu_ebay comps (T2_COMPONENT_SOLD_COMP when <=60d) from thin/estimated tiers (T3) and blocks stale (>60d) observations from cluster FMV or credit borrowing bases. (Component eBay sold-comp & index cross-check courtesy of SpotWire (spotwire.ai), licensed under CC BY 4.0.)
vantage_aws_mit MIT APPROVED_COMMERCIAL Vantage EC2 Instances Dataset (AWS GPU Rate Cards): MIT-licensed dataset; polled conditionally via HTTP ETag (If-None-Match) extracting GPU families only. (Data normalized via vantage-sh/ec2instances.info (MIT License) from AWS Price List Bulk API.)
vast_ai_bundles Proprietary-Restricted BLOCKED_BY_TOS Vast.ai Marketplace Bundles Endpoint: HARD BLOCK: Vast.ai ToS classifies marketplace pricing/availability as Authorized Data and prohibits external index/benchmark creation. (Vast.ai Authorized Data (Do Not Ingest))
runpod_graphql Proprietary-Rate-Card GATED_PARTNER_PENDING RunPod Public GraphQL GPU Catalog: GATED: Excluded from commercial API/report redistribution until written PartnerStack/B2B partner confirmation. (RunPod Secure vs Community Cloud Catalog)

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